Red Sea Threat Monitor 07 February 2025

Overview

In early February, Somalia saw intensified conflict between militant groups and security forces. Al Shabaab targeted Somali and Ugandan forces in Lower Shabelle, Beledweyne, and Ceel Barde but faced setbacks due to counterterrorism efforts by SNA Danab forces and NISA. The group escalated propaganda efforts, while Puntland forces, backed by suspected UAE airstrikes, dismantled ISIS bases in Tog Jaceel, killing over 40 militants. Puntland’s President Deni emphasised independent operations, though federal support was later pledged.

In Yemen, AQAP launched a drone attack on Yemeni forces, while Houthi clashes with Legitimate Yemeni Forces continued in Taiz and Al Dhale. Authorities intercepted Houthi weapon smuggling linked to Iran. The Houthis condemned U.S.-Israeli policies, vowing to resume Red Sea operations if Gaza’s population is displaced under Trump’s plan.

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